
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a 1% increase for the week, indicating a balance between supply and demand. Analysts are divided on the next directional move for Bitcoin, with some anticipating a quiet Easter weekend. Network economist Timothy Peterson highlighted a correlation between the US High Yield Index Effective Yield's 8% gain and Bitcoin's potential future performance. Historical data shows that when the US High Yield Index Effective Yield has risen, Bitcoin has followed suit 71% of the time, with a median gain of 31% and the worst loss of -16%. Peterson predicts that Bitcoin could trade between $75,000 and $138,000 within the next 90 days based on this data.
On the other hand, Bloomberg’s Senior Commodity Strategist Mike McGlone suggested that Bitcoin, along with the S&P 500 Index, may decline towards their 200-week simple moving averages, which typically act as a support level during significant corrections. Bitcoin's 200-week SMA is currently near $46,000.
In terms of technical analysis, Bitcoin has been trading above the 20-day exponential moving average but has failed to challenge the 200-day simple moving average. Failure to initiate a rally could put pressure on the BTC/USDT pair, potentially leading to a drop towards $78,500 and $73,777. However, a swift push above the 200-day SMA could signal the end of the corrective phase and pave the way for a rally towards $95,000 and even $100,000.
In the altcoin market, BNB (BNB) is facing resistance at a downtrend line, with critical support levels at $576 and potential resistance at $644. Hyperliquid (HYPE) has breached overhead resistance at $17.35 but faces selling pressure at higher levels. In contrast, Bittensor (TAO) has reached a downtrend line, and a bounce off the 20-day EMA could lead to a rally towards $360. RNDR (Render) has broken out of overhead resistance at $4.22, signaling a bullish trend with a potential target of $5.94.
It is important to note that this article does not provide investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consider the risks involved in cryptocurrency trading before making any investment decisions.
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